One Easy Trick to Make You a Better Private Investor
To be certain that a company is meeting your expectations for it, it is important to have a record of what those expectations are so you don't fool yourself into a poor investment decision.
We didn’t think that our article earlier this week would have such a high-profile example so quickly, but the market delivered for us.
Figma, a web design company founded in 2012, announced that it is being purchased by software giant Adobe, Inc. The price is $20 billion, half in shares and half in cash[i]. As public investors in Adobe digest the information, it is useful to look at the transaction from Figma’s point of view. Several elements of Figma’s growth and sale mirror the themes we have been discussing at Deal Report.
Companies are staying private for longer
One of the biggest reasons to invest in private deals is that many high-quality companies are delaying their IPOs or never going public at all. Figma is a perfect example of this. An IPO during the frothy market of 2021 for a hot silicon valley company benefiting from the transition from in-office to distributed work would probably have been a big success. But subsequently it is likely that, like most tech companies, there would have been a decline in the stock’s public trading value this year.
Instead, Figma never sought an IPO. As it needed capital to grow, it had a network of private investors who understood Figma’s value better than public markets ever could.
As an investor, you need to be looking at private opportunities that previously would have been available to the public.
Early Investors Reap the Richest Rewards for the Highest Risk
Figma saw eight major funding rounds over the course of its life as a private company. The most recent round was at the very end of 2021. That round valued Figma at $10 billion[ii]. Investors in that round doubled their money in less than 9 months in a market that saw software companies decline in value by nearly 30 percent[iii]. That’s a fantastic return.
Investors in the company’s 2019 round bought in at a valuation of $440 million[iv]. Those investors saw a four-year return of 4,445 percent. $10,000 invested in Figma in 2019 would be worth $444,545. Earlier investors did even better than that. The lesson here is that if a company is becoming successful, it is good to be in the company as early as possible.
Investing at Different Stages can still be Successful.
Successful investments can also arise from late stage investments.Those later investors who “only” doubled their money in nine months still invested successfully: perhaps some late investors had a lower risk tolerance and wanted to see Figma gain some traction with big customers before investing. Other late stage investors were the same organizations as the early investors! As we’ve discussed, it is common for the most successful venture capitalists to invest in companies multiple times at often increasing prices as the company achieves its goals. Similarly, you as an investor should consider supporting a company more than once as it grows, as long as the company is meeting expectations.
______________________________________________________________________
Important Disclosure! These are not official recommendations. Investing is risky. Before making any investments, we strongly advise you to discuss your investment options with your financial advisor, including whether any investment is suitable for your specific financial circumstances and needs.
______________________________________________________________________
All of us here at Deal Report are excited to announce that Deal Report Pro is now live.
Click here to learn more or call us at (833) 416-3640 to get a complete rundown of everything you will get.
We have a home automation dossier queued up featuring a promising private deal opportunity for you.
The idea can be worth more than the financials.
We are financial analysts by training at Deal Report. We like EBITDA, increasing revenues, and comparison to public companies on a variety of metrics. But private investing is about more than that. Private investing is about believing in an idea. Because sometimes someone else who believes in that same idea might acquire a company you invested in with little regard to its current financials. Adobe paid more than 50 times revenue for Figma.
It paid such a high price because it saw how Figma was disrupting Adobe’s own markets. Microsoft, one of Adobe’s key partners, saw thousands of employees switching to Figma for their web design work[v]. Adobe may have both purchased the future of web design and eliminated an existential threat to its business model.
So when you look at a private investment and analyze the company’s financials, keep in mind that you are buying into the company’s future financials as much or more as the current numbers. And there may be an exit event well before those future financials ever come to pass.
[i] https://news.adobe.com/news/news-details/2022/Adobe-to-Acquire-Figma/default.aspx
[ii] https://www.cbinsights.com/company/figma/financials
[iii] https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239771/ishares-north-american-techsoftware-etf
[iv] https://techcrunch.com/2019/02/14/figma-gets-40-million-series-c-to-put-design-tools-in-the-cloud/
[v] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/25/figma-growing-inside-microsoft-testing-longtime-deal-with-adobe.html
Pop Finance, LLC (“Deal Report”) is affiliated with Novation Solutions, Inc. d/b/a DealMaker (“DealMaker”) . DealMaker provides issuers with a technology platform and analytics suite to facilitate their capital raise. These fees are billed as setup, platform and processing fees in connection with its services for the featured company and include per investor processing fees. Issuers do not compensate Deal Report in order to be featured. The intention of Deal Report is to bring investors a selected list of opportunities available from Deal Report’s affiliation with DealMaker, in addition to other timely and relevant financial information. Deal Report is operated as an independent publisher and performs independent analysis of any issuers that are featured. The content provided by Deal Report is based on publicly available information. Although we obtain this information from public sources and believe it to be correct at the time of publication, we do not guarantee that the information is accurate or complete. This information may become outdated and we have no obligation to update it. Deal Report, its affiliates, members, officers, directors, owners, employees, agents, representatives, and/or services providers make no warranty, express or implied, of any kind whatsoever related to the adequacy, accuracy, or completeness of any information contained in the content provided by Deal Report. The content provided by Deal Report is solely for informative purposes and does not constitute investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, nor is it a solicitation of an offer or recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. You should not assume that any investment in a featured company will be profitable or have been profitable in the past. Before making any investments, we strongly advise you to discuss your proposed investment as well as alternative investment options with your financial adviser, including whether any investment is suitable for your specific financial circumstances and needs.